Prediction Algorithm Research Articles

A deep learning approach for prediction of air quality index in smart city

Industrial developments and consumption of massive amount of fossil fuels, vehicle pollution, and other calamities upsurges the AQI (Air Quality Index) of major cities in a drastic manner. Owing to these factors, it is important to take proactive measures for reducing the air pollution in order to avoid life- threatening consequence. Therefore, prediction of air quality is significant for improving the health of living beings as highly polluted regions have a higher concentration of pollutants mixed in the air, affecting the respiratory system and reducing the lifetime. To control pollution, AQI is used as a measure for estimating the pollutant content in the air. Even though many existing techniques have predicted AQI, enhancement is required in prediction algorithms with minimized loss. To address the challenges in traditional algorithms, the proposed smart cities-based AQI prediction intends to utilize the proposed regression algorithm in the dataset, namely Air- Quality-Data, which collected harmful pollutants on an hourly and daily basis from multiple cities in India between 2015 to 2020. To achieve prediction efficiency with reduced loss, pre-processing of input data is being performed using Deep GAN (Generative Adversarial Network). It performs the imputation of data in place of missing values to improve accurate prediction. Additionally, feature scaling normalizes independent real-data features to a fixed scale. With the processed data, regression is done through modified Stacked Attention GRU with KL divergence, which predicts Ernakulam, Chennai and Ahmedabad cities with higher, medium, and low levels of AQI in India. The performance of the proposed regression algorithm is measured using metrics such as MAE (Mean Absolute Error), MSE (Mean Square Error), R2 (Coefficient of determination), MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error), and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and better MAE, MSE, R2, MAPE and RMSE obtained by the model is 0.1013, 0.0134, 0.9479, 0.1152 and 0.1156. Internal assessment and comparative analysis performed with existing regression algorithms exhibit lower loss values obtained from the present research, which determines the efficacy of the proposed model.

Application of improved DBN and GRU based on intelligent optimization algorithm in power load identification and prediction

Non intrusive load monitoring belongs to the key technologies of intelligent power management systems, playing a crucial role in smart grids. To achieve accurate identification and prediction of electricity load, intelligent optimization algorithms are introduced into deep learning optimization for improvement. A load recognition model combining sparrow search algorithm and deep confidence network is designed, as well as a gated recurrent network prediction model on the grounds of particle swarm optimization. The relevant results showed that the sparrow search algorithm used in the study performed well on the solution performance evaluation metrics with a minimum value of 0.209 for the inverse generation distance and a maximum value of 0.814 for the hyper-volume. The accuracy and recall values of the optimized load identification model designed in the study were relatively high. When the accuracy was 0.9, the recall rate could reach 0.94. The recognition accuracy of the model on the basis of the test set could reach up to 0.924. The lowest classification error was only 0.05. The maximum F1 value of the harmonic evaluation index of the bidirectional gated recurrent network optimized by particle swarm optimization converged to 90.06%. The loss function had been optimized by particle swarm optimization, and both the convergence value and convergence speed had been markedly enhanced. The average absolute error and root mean square error of the prediction model were both below 0.3. Compared to the bidirectional gated recurrent model before optimization, the particle swarm optimization strategy had a significant improvement effect on prediction details. In addition, the research method had superior recognition response speed and adaptability in real application environments. This study helps to understand the load demand of the power system, optimize the operation of the power grid, and strengthen the reliability, efficiency, and sustainability of the power system.

Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms for Liver Disease Prediction: SVM, Logistic Regression, and Decision Tree

Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms for Liver Disease Prediction: SVM, Logistic Regression, and Decision Tree

Deep-CNWO: a deep-chaotic nature whale optimization algorithm for early prediction of blood pressure disorder in smart healthcare settings

Deep-CNWO: a deep-chaotic nature whale optimization algorithm for early prediction of blood pressure disorder in smart healthcare settings

Development and Evaluation of Vibration Canceling System Utilizing Macro-Fiber Composites (MFCs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Vibration Prediction AI Algorithms for Road Driving Vibrations

This study developed an innovative active vibration canceling (AVC) system designed to mitigate non-periodic vibrations during road driving to enhance passenger comfort. The macro-fiber composite (MFC) used in the system is a smart material that is flexible, soft, lightweight, and applicable in many fields as a dual-purpose sensor and actuator. The target vibrations are road vibration data that were collected while driving on standard urban (Seoul) and highway roads at 40 km/s. To predict and cancel the target vibration accurately before passing it, we modeled the vibration prediction algorithm using a long short-term memory recurrent neural network (LSTM RNN). We regenerated vibrations on Seoul and highway roads at 40 km/s using MFCs and measured the displacements of the measured, predicted, and AVC vibrations of each road condition. To evaluate the vibration, we computed the root mean squared error (RMSE) and compared standard deviation (SD) values. The accuracies of LSTM RNN vibration prediction algorithms are 97.27% and 96.36% on Seoul roads and highway roads, respectively, at 40 km/s. Although the vibration ratio compared with the AVC results are different, there was no difference between the values of the AVC vibrations. According to a previous study and the principle of the AVC system, the target vibrations decrease by canceling the inverse vibration of the MFC actuator.

Short-Term Air Traffic Flow Prediction Based on CEEMD-LSTM of Bayesian Optimization and Differential Processing

With the rapid development of China’s civil aviation, the flow of air traffic in terminal areas is also increasing. Short-term air traffic flow prediction is of great significance for the accurate implementation of air traffic flow management. To enhance the accuracy of short-term air traffic flow prediction, this paper proposes a short-term air traffic flow prediction model based on complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) and long short-term memory (LSTM) of the Bayesian optimization algorithm and data differential processing. Initially, the model performs CEEMD on the short-term air traffic flow series. Subsequently, to improve prediction accuracy, the data differencing is employed to stabilize the time series. Finally, the smoothed sequences are, respectively, input into the LSTM network model optimized by the Bayesian optimization algorithm for prediction. After data reconstruction, the final short-term flow prediction result is obtained. The model proposed in this paper is verified by using the data from Shanghai Pudong International Airport. The results show that the evaluation indexes of the prediction accuracy and fitting degree of the model, RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error), and R2 (Coefficient of Determination), are 0.336, 0.239, and 97.535%, respectively. Compared to other classical time-series prediction models, the prediction accuracy is greatly improved, which can provide a useful reference for short-term air traffic flow prediction.

A Novel Framework on Book-Recommendation System

With so many books available these days, effective book recommendation engines are crucial to pointing readers in the direction of choices that suit their interests. This paper introduces a prediction algorithm that uses user ratings to improve book recommendations. The program attempts to precisely forecast and rank the top 50 books for specific users by examining user-provided book ratings. The research methodology utilized in this study generates tailored recommendations by combining machine learning algorithms with collaborative filtering techniques. In order to provide predictions, collaborative filtering looks for trends in user behavior and preferences and compares users and books. To be more precise, the model finds books that people with similar preferences have liked by using similarity measures and user-item matrices. The effectiveness of the predictive model is evaluated using a sizable dataset of user-rated novels. The model is guaranteed to be resilient and adaptable to a large range of literary interests due to the dataset's broad scope in terms of genres, authors, and publishing years. Recall, accuracy, and precision are among the performance metrics used to assess how well the model can recommend books to readers based on their interests. The predictive model's ability to produce individualized book recommendations based on user ratings is demonstrated by the results. The model's prediction of the top 50 books is highly relevant and aligned with users' likes, which improves readers' browsing and selecting experience. The concept also exhibits scalability and flexibility, making it possible to accommodate growing book catalogs and changing customer preferences. All things considered, this work advances book recommendation systems by introducing a predictive model that uses user ratings to produce tailored recommendations. The approach improves reading enjoyment and encourages readers to become more deeply involved with books by making it easier for them to find interesting and engaging literary content..

Remaining useful lifetime prediction for milling blades using a fused data prediction model (FDPM)

AbstractIn various industry sectors, predicting the real-life availability of milling applications poses a significant challenge. This challenge arises from the need to prevent inefficient blade resource utilization and the risk of machine breakdowns due to natural wear. To ensure timely and accurate adjustments to milling processes based on the machine's cutting blade condition without disrupting ongoing production, we introduce the Fused Data Prediction Model (FDPM), a novel temporal hybrid prediction model. The FDPM combines the static and dynamic features of the machines to generate simulated outputs, including average cutting force, material removal rate, and peripheral milling machine torque. These outputs are correlated with real blade wear measurements, creating a simulation model that provides insights into predicting the wear progression in the machine when associated with real machine operational parameters. The FDPM also considers data preprocessing, reducing the dimensional space to an advanced recurrent neural network prediction algorithm for forecasting blade wear levels in milling. The validation of the physics-based simulation model indicates the highest fidelity in replicating wear progression with the average cutting force variable, demonstrating an average relative error of 2.38% when compared to the measured mean of rake wear during the milling cycle. These findings illustrate the effectiveness of the FDPM approach, showcasing an impressive prediction accuracy exceeding 93% when the model is trained with only 50% of the available data. These results highlight the potential of the FDPM model as a robust and versatile method for assessing wear levels in milling operations precisely, without disrupting ongoing production.

Gradient projection-based trajectory tracking control for automatic guided vehicle

In order to solve the problems of long operation time for solving the trajectory tracking controller and low real-time tracking. This paper proposes an improved model predictive control algorithm. By introducing the gradient projection method (GPM), the projection direction is used as the fastest descent direction of the objective function, which is used to reduce the number of iterations of the operation. Meanwhile, this paper adds constraints and relaxation factors to improve the trajectory tracking accuracy and prevent the controller operations from falling into local optimal solutions. Simulation by Simulink, the improved model predictive control algorithm reduces the average operation time by 24.74% and the single maximum operation time by 36.04%, effectively improving the real-time trajectory tracking performance. Finally, the verification experiment of trajectory tracking control is carried out by actual vehicle, proving the method’s effectiveness.

Machine Learning for Economic Forecast Based on Past 30 Years and Covid-19 Pandemic Data

Along the time, there are many forecasting techniques applied by researchers in various topics in Economics. Traditionally, some of the most popular time-series analysis model like Vector-autoregressive (VAR) are still widely applied in Economics forecasting topics since they can capture sufficient information for a dataset to predict. On the other hands, machining learning and deep-learning algorithm also shades a way for forecasting. In particular, algorithm like Gradient boosting, learning algorithm Long-short-term memory (LSTM) shows their tremendous accuracy when applying to Economic data. Covid-19 leads to one of the largest economic recessions in history in terms of intensity and time. In this article, some of the popular forecasting methods are applied to forecasting GDP data with the record from Covid-19. The empirical analysis is conducted for data in United states to compare the accuracy and divergency for various prediction algorithms. It turns out that machine learning algorithms are well performed in US cases where they generate relatively low forecasting error.

Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network with Transformer and Whale Optimization Algorithm for Traffic Flow Prediction

Accurate traffic flow prediction plays a crucial role in the development of intelligent traffic management. Despite numerous investigations into spatio-temporal methods, achieving high accuracy in traffic flow prediction remains challenging. This challenge arises from the complex dynamic spatio-temporal correlations within the traffic road network and the limitations imposed by the selection of hyperparameters based on experiments and manual experience, which can affect the performance of the network architecture. This paper introduces a novel transformer-based adaptive graph convolutional recurrent network. The proposed network automatically infers the interdependencies among different traffic sequences and incorporates the capability to capture global spatio-temporal correlations. This enables the dynamic capture of long-range temporal correlations. Furthermore, the whale optimization algorithm is employed to efficiently design an optimal network structure that aligns with the requirements of the traffic domain and maximizes the utilization of limited computational resources. This design approach significantly enhances the model’s performance and improves the accuracy of traffic flow prediction. The experimental results on four real datasets demonstrate the efficacy of our approach. In PEMS03, it improves MAE by 2.6% and RMSE by 1.4%. In PEMS04, improvements are 1.6% in MAE and 1.4% in RMSE, with a similar MAPE score to the best baseline. For PEMS07, our approach shows a 4.1% improvement in MAE and 2.2% in RMSE. On PEMS08, it surpasses the current best baseline with a 3.4% improvement in MAE and 1.6% in RMSE. These results confirm the good performance of our model in traffic flow prediction across multiple datasets.

A Statistical and AI Analysis of the Frequency Spectrum in the Measurement of the Center of Pressure Track in the Seated Position in Healthy Subjects and Subjects with Low Back Pain

Measuring postural control in an upright standing position is the standard method. However, this diagnostic method has floor or ceiling effects and its implementation is only possible to a limited extent. Assessing postural control directly on the trunk in a sitting position and consideration of the results in the spectrum in conjunction with an AI-supported evaluation could represent an alternative diagnostic method quantifying neuromuscular control. In a prospective cross-sectional study, 188 subjects aged between 18 and 60 years were recruited and divided into two groups: “LowBackPain” vs. “Healthy”. Subsequently, measurements of postural control in a seated position were carried out for 60 s using a modified balance board. A spectrum per trail was calculated using the measured CoP tracks in the range from 0.01 to 10 Hz. Various algorithms for data classification and prediction of these classes were tested for the parameter combination with the highest proven static influence on the parameter pain. The best results were found in a frequency spectrum of 0.001 Hz and greater than 1 Hz. After transforming the track from the time domain to the image domain for representation as power density, the influence of pain was highly significant (effect size 0.9). The link between pain and gender (p = 0.015) and pain and height (p = 0.012) also demonstrated significant results. The assessment of postural control in a seated position allows differentiation between “LowBackPain” and “Healthy” subjects. Using the AI algorithm of neural networks, the data set can be correctly differentiated into “LowBackPain” and “Healthy” with a probability of 81%.

Evolutionary Algorithms for Strength Prediction of Geopolymer Concrete

Geopolymer concrete (GPC) serves as a sustainable substitute for conventional concrete by employing alternative cementitious materials such as fly ash (FA) instead of ordinary Portland cement (OPC), contributing to environmental and durability benefits. To increase the rate of utilization of FA in the construction industry, distinctive characteristics of two machine learning (ML) methods, namely, gene expression programming (GEP) and multi-expression programming (MEP), were utilized in this study to propose precise prediction models for the compressive strength and split tensile strength of GPC comprising FA as a binder. A comprehensive database was collated, which comprised 301 compressive strength and 96 split tensile strength results. Seven distinct input variables were employed for the modeling purpose, i.e., FA, sodium hydroxide, sodium silicate, water, superplasticizer, and fine and coarse aggregates contents. The performance of the developed models was assessed via numerous statistical metrics and absolute error plots. In addition, a parametric analysis of the finalized models was performed to validate the prediction ability and accuracy of the finalized models. The GEP-based prediction models exhibited better performance, accuracy, and generalization capability compared with the MEP-based models in this study. The GEP-based models demonstrated higher correlation coefficients (R) for predicting the compressive and split tensile strengths, with the values of 0.89 and 0.87, respectively, compared with the MEP-based models, which yielded the R values of 0.76 and 0.73, respectively. The mean absolute errors for the GEP- and MEP-based models for predicting the compressive strength were 5.09 MPa and 6.78 MPa, respectively, while those for the split tensile strengths were 0.42 MPa and 0.51 MPa, respectively. The finalized models offered simple mathematical formulations using the GEP and Python code-based formulations from MEP for predicting the compressive and tensile strengths of GPC. The developed models indicated practical application potential in optimizing geopolymer mix designs. This research work contributes to the ongoing efforts in advancing ML applications in the construction industry, highlighting the importance of sustainable materials for the future.

Wind speed prediction

With the help of wind farms, wind energy is a vital renewable energy source that contributes significantly to the worlds energy balance. The lifespan and maintenance costs of wind turbines will be reduced with an accurate wind speed prediction. On the other hand, wind speed is highly volatile and unpredictable. Thus, it is essential to do research into creating complex models and algorithms for precise wind speed prediction. So far, some of the most promising models include Support Vector Machine (SVM), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), and Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA). Python, as an advanced and versatile programming language, is exceptionally suited for scripting the algorithms of these sophisticated models. This paper will use the data from Austin Texas and apply a Support Vector Machine (SVM) for wind speed prediction involves several stages, including data collection, data preprocessing, model selection, model training, parameter optimization, model validation, and prediction. Wind energy resource optimisation, maintenance cost reduction, and total wind farm efficiency can all be significantly improved by incorporating these models into predictive analytics and continuously improving them against changing data.

Application of Machine Learning Algorithms for Prediction of Tumor T-Cell Immunogens

The identification and characterization of immunogenic tumor antigens are essential for cancer vaccine development. In light of the impracticality of isolating and evaluating each putative antigen individually, in silico prediction algorithms, particularly those utilizing machine learning (ML) approaches, play a pivotal role. These algorithms significantly reduce the experimental workload necessary for discovering vaccine candidates. In this study, we employed six supervised ML methods on a dataset comprising 212 experimentally validated human tumor peptide antigens and an equal number of non-antigenic human peptides to develop models for immunogenicity prediction. These methods encompassed k-nearest neighbor (kNN), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), quadratic discriminant analysis (QDA), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The models underwent validation through internal cross-validation within 10 groups from the training set and were further assessed using an external test set. Remarkably, the kNN model demonstrated superior performance, recognizing 90% of the known immunogens in the test set. The RF model excelled in the identification of non-immunogens, accurately classifying 93% of them in the test set. The three top-performing ML models according to multiple evaluation metrics (SVM, RF, and XGBoost) are to be subsequently integrated into the new version of the VaxiJen server, facilitating tumor antigen prediction through a majority voting mechanism.

Modeling- and Simulation-Driven Methodology for the Deployment of an Inland Water Monitoring System

In response to the challenges introduced by global warming and increased eutrophication, this paper presents an innovative modeling and simulation (M&S)-driven model for developing an automated inland water monitoring system. This system is grounded in a layered Internet of Things (IoT) architecture and seamlessly integrates cloud, fog, and edge computing to enable sophisticated, real-time environmental surveillance and prediction of harmful algal and cyanobacterial blooms (HACBs). Utilizing autonomous boats as mobile data collection units within the edge layer, the system efficiently tracks algae and cyanobacteria proliferation and relays critical data upward through the architecture. These data feed into advanced inference models within the cloud layer, which inform predictive algorithms in the fog layer, orchestrating subsequent data-gathering missions. This paper also details a complete development environment that facilitates the system lifecycle from concept to deployment. The modular design is powered by Discrete Event System Specification (DEVS) and offers unparalleled adaptability, allowing developers to simulate, validate, and deploy modules incrementally and cutting across traditional developmental phases.

Prediction of Mismatch Repair Status in Endometrial Cancer from Histological Slide Images Using Various Deep Learning-Based Algorithms

The application of deep learning algorithms to predict the molecular profiles of various cancers from digital images of hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained slides has been reported in recent years, mainly for gastric and colon cancers. In this study, we investigated the potential use of H&E-stained endometrial cancer slide images to predict the associated mismatch repair (MMR) status. H&E-stained slide images were collected from 127 cases of the primary lesion of endometrial cancer. After digitization using a Nanozoomer virtual slide scanner (Hamamatsu Photonics), we segmented the scanned images into 5397 tiles of 512 × 512 pixels. The MMR proteins (PMS2, MSH6) were immunohistochemically stained, classified into MMR proficient/deficient, and annotated for each case and tile. We trained several neural networks, including convolutional and attention-based networks, using tiles annotated with the MMR status. Among the tested networks, ResNet50 exhibited the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.91 for predicting the MMR status. The constructed prediction algorithm may be applicable to other molecular profiles and useful for pre-screening before implementing other, more costly genetic profiling tests.

A collision-avoidance decision-making scheme based on artificial potential fields and event-triggered control

In this paper, a collision-avoidance decision-making scheme is proposed based on improved artificial potential field (APF) and event-triggered nonlinear model predictive control. A calculation model is used to calculate the collision avoidance dynamic parameters between ships. In accordance with relevant rules of the International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea (COLREGs), abovementioned collision avoidance parameters are used as the main index and applied to construct the repulsive potential field. Then, an anti-collision decision-making scheme is developed by incorporating event-triggered mechanism and improved APF method into the nonlinear model predictive control algorithm. Based on improved repulsive potential field, heading of the ship and orientation of the target point, the event-triggered conditions are set to save considerable computational resources. Following this approach, optimal collision avoidance actions in line with COLREGs is realised, and the adverse effects of ignoring the manoeuvrability characteristics of ships in the process of preventing collisions are eliminated. Finally, simulation examples verify the effectiveness and rationality of the proposed scheme for multi-ship encounter scenarios.

Prediction of Drug-Target Affinity Using Attention Neural Network

Studying drug-target interactions (DTIs) is the foundational and crucial phase in drug discovery. Biochemical experiments, while being the most reliable method for determining drug-target affinity (DTA), are time-consuming and costly, making it challenging to meet the current demands for swift and efficient drug development. Consequently, computational DTA prediction methods have emerged as indispensable tools for this research. In this article, we propose a novel deep learning algorithm named GRA-DTA, for DTA prediction. Specifically, we introduce Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU) combined with a soft attention mechanism to learn target representations. We employ Graph Sample and Aggregate (GraphSAGE) to learn drug representation, especially to distinguish the different features of drug and target representations and their dimensional contributions. We merge drug and target representations by an attention neural network (ANN) to learn drug-target pair representations, which are fed into fully connected layers to yield predictive DTA. The experimental results showed that GRA-DTA achieved mean squared error of 0.142 and 0.225 and concordance index reached 0.897 and 0.890 on the benchmark datasets KIBA and Davis, respectively, surpassing the most state-of-the-art DTA prediction algorithms.

SAER : Comparison of Rule Prediction Algorithms on Constructing a Corpus for Taxation Related Tweet Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis

SAER : Comparison of Rule Prediction Algorithms on Constructing a Corpus for Taxation Related Tweet Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis